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Satyagraha

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Iran In The Crosshairs



Published on May 1, 2017

On this edition of The Geopolitical Report, we cover the Trump administration’s move to nullify the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and demonize Iran as the leading state sponsor of terror in the world. Trump’s secretary of state Rex Tillerson says Iran is up to no good in Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Lebanon. However, when history is examined without a jaundiced eye, we see that it is the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Israel that are responsible for many of the problems in the Middle East. If all the facts are taken into consideration, we quickly arrive at the conclusion the United States is the leading exporter of terror in the world, not Iran.
“He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it. He who accepts evil without protesting against it is really cooperating with it.”
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Satyagraha

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Brookings' "Which Path to Persia?"
https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2011/02/brookings-which-path-to-persia.html

Part I: The war has already begun, total war is a possibility.
by Tony Cartalucci

For Part II please see "Which Path to Persia?: Redux"

While the corporate owned media has the plebeians arguing over whether or not Iran should have nuclear weapons or if it intends to commit genocide against the Jews (the largest population of Jews in the Middle East outside of Israel actually resides in Iran), the debate is already over, and the war has already quietly begun. Before it began, however, someone meticulously meted out the details of how it would unfold. That "someone" is the mega-corporate backed Brookings Institution.


Which Path to Persia? .pdf

Background

"Which Path to Persia?" was written in 2009 by the Brookings Institution as a blueprint for confronting Iran. Within the opening pages of the report, acknowledgments are given to the Smith Richardson Foundation, upon which Zbigniew Brzezinski sits as an acting governor.

The Smith Richardson Foundation funds a bizarre myriad of globalist pet projects including studies on geoengineering, nation building, meddling in the Caucasus region, and even studies, as of 2009, to develop methods to support "indigenous democratic political movements and transitions" in Poland, Egypt, Cuba, Nepal, Haiti, Vietnam, Cambodia, Zimbabwe, and Burma. Also acknowledged by the report is the Crown Family Foundation out of Chicago.

The Brookings Institution itself is a creation of the notorious globalist funding arms including the Carnegie Corporation, the Rockefeller Foundation and the Ford Foundation, all who recently had been involved in the fake "Ground Zero Mosque" controversy. Today, Brookings boasts a full complement of support and funding from America's biggest corporations. Upon the Brookings Institution's board of trustees one will find a collection of corporate leaders from Goldman Sachs, the Carlyle Group, the insurance industry, Pepsi (CFR), Alcoa (CFR), and various CFR affiliated consulting firms like McKinsey & Company.

Full details can be found within the pages of their 2010 annual report here.

To say Brookings is of big-business, by big-business and for big-business is a serious understatement. This is crucial to keep in mind as we examine their designs toward Iran and consider the terrible cost every single option they are considering has towards everyone but, unsurprisingly, their own bottom-lines.

Motivations Should be Obvious

We must look into the minds of those that shape US foreign policy and sweep aside the distracting rhetoric they feed us. US foreign policy is shaped by organizations like the Brookings Institution which consist of members of the largest corporations and banks on earth. These corporations are not only disinterested in security, but thrive on the war and conflict insecurity breeds. (See "War is a Racket" and Eisenhower's Warning.)

Iran not only possesses massive oil reserves and an economic, political, and militarily strategic location in relation to Russia and China, it also boasts a population of 76 million. This is a large population that if left sovereign and independent can viably compete against the West's degenerate casino economy, or if invaded and corrupted, can become 76 million more consumerist human cattle.

The sheer scale of the military options considered by Brookings' strategy would be a boom alone for the defense contractors that sponsor it, whether the operation was a success or not. The incentive to domineer over Iran is quite obvious and only made more attractive from a corporate American point of view when considering all the risks of such domineering are completely "socialized," from the dead troops, to the broke tax payers. No matter how insane the following report may sound, keep in mind, "they have nothing to lose."

The globalists run think-tanks all over the world like Brookings where their policy wonks generate an immense amount of strategic doctrine. This doctrine then converges to form a general consensus. Knowing the details of this doctrine beforehand can give us clues as to what to look for on the geopolitical chessboard as their gambits play out.

Green revolutions, resigning admirals, bizarre troop build-ups in Afghanistan and Iraq, terrorist attacks within Iran, and high profile assassinations all make sense if you are aware of the playbook they are working from. The hyped and very fake "war on terror" being ratcheted up on the home-front is also a telling and alarming sign, perhaps the most alarming of all.

(continued)

“He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it. He who accepts evil without protesting against it is really cooperating with it.”
Martin Luther King Jr.
 

 

Satyagraha

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Peters’ “Blood borders” map
http://armedforcesjournal.com/peters-blood-borders-map/
October 2, 2013 



On Sept. 29, veteran foreign-affairs reporter Robin Wright offered a vision for remapping the Middle East to alleviate tension. The redrawn map, she mused in the New York Times, could be “a strategic game changer for just about everybody, potentially reconfiguring alliances, security challenges, trade and energy flows for much of the world, too.” Perhaps her article and map will stir productive debate; it is certain to become a lightning rod for conspiracy theorists.

AFJ can assert this because of a very similar exercise undertaken by Army Lt. Col. (ret.) Ralph Peters in the June 2006 AFJ. In “Blood Borders”, Peters suggested that a reimagining of Middle Eastern and Asian borders along ethnic, sectarian and tribal lines might ease regional tensions. The article and the accompanying map were — and continue to be — widely taken as Washington’s blueprint for imperial meddling.

Today, the article and map remain among the most-visited pages on the AFJ website.

(continued)
“He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it. He who accepts evil without protesting against it is really cooperating with it.”
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The Original Globalist Plan... from 2006:

Blood Borders
How a better Middle East would look
http://armedforcesjournal.com/blood-borders/

International borders are never completely just. But the degree of injustice they inflict upon those whom frontiers force together or separate makes an enormous difference — often the difference between freedom and oppression, tolerance and atrocity, the rule of law and terrorism, or even peace and war.

The most arbitrary and distorted borders in the world are in Africa and the Middle East. Drawn by self-interested Europeans (who have had sufficient trouble defining their own frontiers), Africa’s borders continue to provoke the deaths of millions of local inhabitants. But the unjust borders in the Middle East — to borrow from Churchill — generate more trouble than can be consumed locally.

While the Middle East has far more problems than dysfunctional borders alone — from cultural stagnation through scandalous inequality to deadly religious extremism — the greatest taboo in striving to understand the region’s comprehensive failure isn’t Islam but the awful-but-sacrosanct international boundaries worshipped by our own diplomats.

Of course, no adjustment of borders, however draconian, could make every minority in the Middle East happy. In some instances, ethnic and religious groups live intermingled and have intermarried. Elsewhere, reunions based on blood or belief might not prove quite as joyous as their current proponents expect. The boundaries projected in the maps accompanying this article redress the wrongs suffered by the most significant "cheated" population groups, such as the Kurds, Baluch and Arab Shia, but still fail to account adequately for Middle Eastern Christians, Bahais, Ismailis, Naqshbandis and many another numerically lesser minorities. And one haunting wrong can never be redressed with a reward of territory: the genocide perpetrated against the Armenians by the dying Ottoman Empire.

Yet, for all the injustices the borders re-imagined here leave unaddressed, without such major boundary revisions, we shall never see a more peaceful Middle East.

Even those who abhor the topic of altering borders would be well-served to engage in an exercise that attempts to conceive a fairer, if still imperfect, amendment of national boundaries between the Bosporus and the Indus. Accepting that international statecraft has never developed effective tools — short of war — for readjusting faulty borders, a mental effort to grasp the Middle East’s "organic" frontiers nonetheless helps us understand the extent of the difficulties we face and will continue to face. We are dealing with colossal, man-made deformities that will not stop generating hatred and violence until they are corrected.

As for those who refuse to "think the unthinkable," declaring that boundaries must not change and that’s that, it pays to remember that boundaries have never stopped changing through the centuries. Borders have never been static, and many frontiers, from Congo through Kosovo to the Caucasus, are changing even now (as ambassadors and special representatives avert their eyes to study the shine on their wingtips).

Oh, and one other dirty little secret from 5,000 years of history: Ethnic cleansing works.

Begin with the border issue most sensitive to American readers: For Israel to have any hope of living in reasonable peace with its neighbors, it will have to return to its pre-1967 borders — with essential local adjustments for legitimate security concerns. But the issue of the territories surrounding Jerusalem, a city stained with thousands of years of blood, may prove intractable beyond our lifetimes. Where all parties have turned their god into a real-estate tycoon, literal turf battles have a tenacity unrivaled by mere greed for oil wealth or ethnic squabbles. So let us set aside this single overstudied issue and turn to those that are studiously ignored.

The most glaring injustice in the notoriously unjust lands between the Balkan Mountains and the Himalayas is the absence of an independent Kurdish state. There are between 27 million and 36 million Kurds living in contiguous regions in the Middle East (the figures are imprecise because no state has ever allowed an honest census). Greater than the population of present-day Iraq, even the lower figure makes the Kurds the world’s largest ethnic group without a state of its own. Worse, Kurds have been oppressed by every government controlling the hills and mountains where they’ve lived since Xenophon’s day.

The U.S. and its coalition partners missed a glorious chance to begin to correct this injustice after Baghdad’s fall. A Frankenstein’s monster of a state sewn together from ill-fitting parts, Iraq should have been divided into three smaller states immediately. We failed from cowardice and lack of vision, bullying Iraq’s Kurds into supporting the new Iraqi government — which they do wistfully as a quid pro quo for our good will. But were a free plebiscite to be held, make no mistake: Nearly 100 percent of Iraq’s Kurds would vote for independence.

As would the long-suffering Kurds of Turkey, who have endured decades of violent military oppression and a decades-long demotion to "mountain Turks" in an effort to eradicate their identity. While the Kurdish plight at Ankara’s hands has eased somewhat over the past decade, the repression recently intensified again and the eastern fifth of Turkey should be viewed as occupied territory. As for the Kurds of Syria and Iran, they, too, would rush to join an independent Kurdistan if they could. The refusal by the world’s legitimate democracies to champion Kurdish independence is a human-rights sin of omission far worse than the clumsy, minor sins of commission that routinely excite our media. And by the way: A Free Kurdistan, stretching from Diyarbakir through Tabriz, would be the most pro-Western state between Bulgaria and Japan.

A just alignment in the region would leave Iraq’s three Sunni-majority provinces as a truncated state that might eventually choose to unify with a Syria that loses its littoral to a Mediterranean-oriented Greater Lebanon: Phoenecia reborn. The Shia south of old Iraq would form the basis of an Arab Shia State rimming much of the Persian Gulf. Jordan would retain its current territory, with some southward expansion at Saudi expense. For its part, the unnatural state of Saudi Arabia would suffer as great a dismantling as Pakistan.

A root cause of the broad stagnation in the Muslim world is the Saudi royal family’s treatment of Mecca and Medina as their fiefdom. With Islam’s holiest shrines under the police-state control of one of the world’s most bigoted and oppressive regimes — a regime that commands vast, unearned oil wealth — the Saudis have been able to project their Wahhabi vision of a disciplinarian, intolerant faith far beyond their borders. The rise of the Saudis to wealth and, consequently, influence has been the worst thing to happen to the Muslim world as a whole since the time of the Prophet, and the worst thing to happen to Arabs since the Ottoman (if not the Mongol) conquest.

While non-Muslims could not effect a change in the control of Islam’s holy cities, imagine how much healthier the Muslim world might become were Mecca and Medina ruled by a rotating council representative of the world’s major Muslim schools and movements in an Islamic Sacred State — a sort of Muslim super-Vatican — where the future of a great faith might be debated rather than merely decreed. True justice — which we might not like — would also give Saudi Arabia’s coastal oil fields to the Shia Arabs who populate that subregion, while a southeastern quadrant would go to Yemen. Confined to a rump Saudi Homelands Independent Territory around Riyadh, the House of Saud would be capable of far less mischief toward Islam and the world.

Iran, a state with madcap boundaries, would lose a great deal of territory to Unified Azerbaijan, Free Kurdistan, the Arab Shia State and Free Baluchistan, but would gain the provinces around Herat in today’s Afghanistan — a region with a historical and linguistic affinity for Persia. Iran would, in effect, become an ethnic Persian state again, with the most difficult question being whether or not it should keep the port of Bandar Abbas or surrender it to the Arab Shia State.

What Afghanistan would lose to Persia in the west, it would gain in the east, as Pakistan’s Northwest Frontier tribes would be reunited with their Afghan brethren (the point of this exercise is not to draw maps as we would like them but as local populations would prefer them). Pakistan, another unnatural state, would also lose its Baluch territory to Free Baluchistan. The remaining "natural" Pakistan would lie entirely east of the Indus, except for a westward spur near Karachi.

The city-states of the United Arab Emirates would have a mixed fate — as they probably will in reality. Some might be incorporated in the Arab Shia State ringing much of the Persian Gulf (a state more likely to evolve as a counterbalance to, rather than an ally of, Persian Iran). Since all puritanical cultures are hypocritical, Dubai, of necessity, would be allowed to retain its playground status for rich debauchees. Kuwait would remain within its current borders, as would Oman.

In each case, this hypothetical redrawing of boundaries reflects ethnic affinities and religious communalism — in some cases, both. Of course, if we could wave a magic wand and amend the borders under discussion, we would certainly prefer to do so selectively. Yet, studying the revised map, in contrast to the map illustrating today’s boundaries, offers some sense of the great wrongs borders drawn by Frenchmen and Englishmen in the 20th century did to a region struggling to emerge from the humiliations and defeats of the 19th century.

Correcting borders to reflect the will of the people may be impossible. For now. But given time — and the inevitable attendant bloodshed — new and natural borders will emerge. Babylon has fallen more than once.

Meanwhile, our men and women in uniform will continue to fight for security from terrorism, for the prospect of democracy and for access to oil supplies in a region that is destined to fight itself. The current human divisions and forced unions between Ankara and Karachi, taken together with the region’s self-inflicted woes, form as perfect a breeding ground for religious extremism, a culture of blame and the recruitment of terrorists as anyone could design. Where men and women look ruefully at their borders, they look enthusiastically for enemies.

From the world’s oversupply of terrorists to its paucity of energy supplies, the current deformations of the Middle East promise a worsening, not an improving, situation. In a region where only the worst aspects of nationalism ever took hold and where the most debased aspects of religion threaten to dominate a disappointed faith, the U.S., its allies and, above all, our armed forces can look for crises without end. While Iraq may provide a counterexample of hope — if we do not quit its soil prematurely — the rest of this vast region offers worsening problems on almost every front.

If the borders of the greater Middle East cannot be amended to reflect the natural ties of blood and faith, we may take it as an article of faith that a portion of the bloodshed in the region will continue to be our own.

• • •

WHO WINS, WHO LOSES

Winners —

Afghanistan
Arab Shia State
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Free Baluchistan
Free Kurdistan
Iran
Islamic Sacred State
Jordan
Lebanon
Yemen

Losers —

Afghanistan
Iran
Iraq
Israel
Kuwait
Pakistan
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Syria
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
West Bank

Ralph Peters is the author of the new book "Never Quit the Fight," to be published on July 4th.

“He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it. He who accepts evil without protesting against it is really cooperating with it.”
Martin Luther King Jr.
 

 

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Our not so good friends over at the CFR have been doing recent write ups on Iran. 
https://www.cfr.org/expert-brief/irans-presidential-test
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/impact-iran-nuclear-agreement

... and you'll love this one 'featured' at the CFR website... (Iran elections are high on the globalist worry list)
Why I’m Rooting for the Hardliner in Iran’s Elections (The anti-soft power neocon friendly approach)
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/05/15/iran-elections-hardliner-ibrahim-raisi-215137

The globalist view point that has changed since 2009, is the globalist 'soft power' approach, where sanctions and globalist shills inside Iran, keep Iran in globalist control. 
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EvadingGrid

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Have you ever noticed that one "country" in the middle east always, always gets good publicity ?

Can you name that "country" ?

Given the track record of imorality, murder and mayhem but all players in the region, is that not just a tiny triffle odd ?

I put "country" in quotes, because it is not a country - yet . . .
 
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Iran - Responsible For 9/11 - BiG LiE -
« Reply #6 on: May 31, 2017, 06:11:47 am »
 

EvadingGrid

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Activist Post

Shifting The Blame: How US Made Iran Responsible For 9/11

May 30, 2017
Eric Zuesse

http://www.activistpost.com/2017/05/shifting-blame-us-made-iran-responsible-911.html

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Re: Iran - Responsible For 9/11 - BiG LiE -
« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2017, 06:18:04 am »
 

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RT

Fatality & injuries after shootings, bombing at Iranian parliament & Khomeini mausoleum
7 Jun, 2017
https://www.rt.com/news/391183-iran-parliament-shooting-injured/
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Daily Mail

BREAKING NEWS: Terror in Tehran as 'female suicide bomber' blows herself up at Ayatollah Khomeini's mausoleum and gunmen take hostages at Iranian parliament

By Chris Pleasance for MailOnline and Afp
June 7 2017
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4579806/Several-wounded-attacks-Iran-parliament-tomb-reports.html

* Seven killed and four taken hostage after gunmen stormed Iran's parliament
* Four men armed with AK47s and pistols were seen at windows of the building
* Another four gun and bomb attackers wounded at least eight at shrine
* Bomber, believed to be a woman, blew herself up at Kohmeini monument

At least seven people are dead and four are being held hostage after gunmen stormed Iran's parliament on Thursday. A suicide bomber is reported to have blown themselves up on the fourth floor of the building after men armed with AK47s were pictured leaning out of the windows. Iran's anti-terror special forces have been sent to parliament and had been exchanging gunfire with the attackers in the northern part of the building. Meanwhile another four people attacked a shrine to Ayatollah Khomeini, the founder of modern-day Iran, amidst reports that a female suicide bomber blew herself up, killing at least one and wounding another five.


Seven people have been shot dead and another four taken hostage after gunmen stormed Iran's parliament building, local media report (pictured)



Another person died and at least five were wounded when a female suicide bomber blew herself up at a shrine to Ayatollah Khomeini, the founder of modern-day Iran, it is reported



Men armed with AK47s and pistols shot security guards dead and wounded several others at Tehran's parliament as ambulances rushed to the scene (pictured)



State TV insisted that parliament had resumed session shortly after the attack, despite images of wounded lying in the streets outside (pictured)


Mehr News Agency reports that one person, believed to be a government worker, was shot dead during the shrine attack. The agency says one attacker detonated a suicide vest, two were arrested by police, and one was killed.  Meanwhile tourists at the mausoleum had been locked inside to keep them safe.


READ MORE
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4579806/Several-wounded-attacks-Iran-parliament-tomb-reports.html
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Fatalities & injuries after shootings, bombings at Iranian parliament & Khomeini shrine

June 7 2017
https://www.davidicke.com/article/414903/fatalities-injuries-shootings-bombings-iranian-parliament-khomeini-shrine


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ISIS CLAIMED RESPONSIBILITY FOR ATTACKS ON IRANIAN PARLIAMENT AND KHOMEINI MAUSOLEUM

June 7 2017
https://southfront.org/isis-claimed-responsibility-for-attacks-on-iranian-parliament-and-khomeini-mausoleum/

The ISIS terrorist group has claimed for attacks on the Iranian Parliament and Khomeini Mausoleum in Tehran via its news agency Amaq. More about the incident HERE.


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Rights groups: Saudis planning to execute 14 Shias after unfair trial

BY ANDREW CHEETHAM ON 7 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/414795/rights-groups-saudis-planning-execute-14-shias-unfair-trial



‘International rights groups say Saudi Arabia plans to execute 14 Shia civilians following a “grossly unfair trial” over political protests.

“The rise in death sentences against Saudi Arabian Shia is alarming and suggests that the authorities are using the death penalty to settle scores and crush dissent under the guise of combating ‘terrorism’ and maintaining national security,” said Human Rights Watch’s Sarah Leah Whitson on Tuesday.

Court documents seen by Amnesty International have revealed that a total of 38 defendants were detained and kept in pre-trial detention for over two years before their trial began.

For most of the time they were held in solitary confinement and their families denied access to them.

“The sham court proceedings that led to death sentences … brazenly flout international fair trial standards,” said Amnesty’s Middle East Director Lynn Maalouf.’

Read more: Rights groups: Saudis planning to execute 14 Shias after unfair trial
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Iranian Government Allows Qatar To Use National Airspace
https://southfront.org/iranian-government-allows-qatar-use-national-airspace/
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Sponsors of terror ‘falling victim to evil they promote’ ‒ Trump on Tehran attacks

BY ANDREW CHEETHAM ON 8 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/414795/rights-groups-saudis-planning-execute-14-shias-unfair-trial



‘The White House has sent condolences to Iran after at least 12 people were killed in terrorist bomb and gun attacks in Tehran, but then lectured that “states that sponsor terrorism risk falling victim to the evil they promote.”

“We grieve and pray for the innocent victims of the terrorist attacks in Iran, and for the Iranian people, who are going through such challenging times,” the White House said in a statement in response to the Tuesday attacks. “We underscore that states that sponsor terrorism risk falling victim to the evil they promote.”

The Iranian Interior Ministry has confirmed Iranian nationals who joined the Islamic State were the attackers who blew up bombs and opened fire Tuesday at the Iranian parliament and Ayatollah Khomeini’s shrine in Tehran, killing at least 12 and injuring dozens, according to Ruptly.’

Read more: Sponsors of terror ‘falling victim to evil they promote’ ‒ Trump on Tehran attacks
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Why Did the Islamic State Target Tehran?
« Reply #15 on: Jun 09, 2017, 04:32:29 pm »
 

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Why Did the Islamic State Target Tehran?

The better question.  Why HASN'T the 'deep Islamic State' Target Israel?  Maybe because perhaps Israel gives aid and comfort to their wounded?  Just a guess.

CFR tries to explain away the 'contradiction' in their narrative that Iran is aiding ISIS-IS-US.

---------------------------------------------
https://www.cfr.org/interview/why-did-islamic-state-target-tehran

Attacks by the self-proclaimed Islamic State on Iran’s parliament and the shrine to Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, symbols of the republic and Iranian revolution, left seventeen dead on Wednesday. They mark the group’s first assault on Iran and come at a time when its purported caliphate, which spans the border of Iraq and Syria, is under increasing military pressure by U.S.- and Iran-backed forces, among others. In the face of this pressure, the Islamic State hopes to demonstrate its resilience and wide reach, says Bruce Hoffman, a terrorism expert at Georgetown University. The group’s attacks are also meant to burnish its credentials as “a defender of Sunnis everywhere” and “vanguard of the struggle against the Shia,” Hoffman says, since even as Saudi Arabia and other Sunni powers rail against Iran for how it wields influence in the Middle East, only the Islamic State has struck it directly.

What was your initial reaction to the attacks?

Unprecedented. ISIS sees itself in literally an apocalyptic battle with the Shia, and to be able to strike in the capital of the nation-state that encapsulates that enmity—not only against its legislature but against the mausoleum of Ayatollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic and one of the most venerated figures in modern Iranian history—is quite significant.

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Tehran Was Always America’s Final Destination, the Target of the ISIS Terror Attack

BY ANDREW CHEETHAM ON 11 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/415335/tehran-always-americas-final-destination-target-isis-terror-attack



‘Several were left dead and many more injured after coordinated terror attacks on Iran’s capital of Tehran. Shootings and bombings targeted Iran’s parliament and the tomb of Ayatollah Khomeini.

According to Reuters, the so-called “Islamic State” claimed responsibility for the attack, which unfolded just days after another terror attack unfolded in London. The Islamic State also reportedly took responsibility for the violence in London, despite evidence emerging that the three suspects involved were long-known to British security and intelligence agencies and were simply allowed to plot and carry out their attacks.

It is much less likely that Tehran’s government coddled terrorists -as it has been engaged for years in fighting terrorism both on its borders and in Syria amid a vicious six-year war fueled by US, European, and Persian Gulf weapons, cash, and fighters.’


Read more: Tehran Was Always America’s Final Destination, the Target of the ISIS Terror Attack
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THE RUSSIAN-IRANIAN ALLIANCE: AIMS, OBJECTIVES AND DIFFERENCES

https://southfront.org/the-russian-iranian-alliance-aims-objectives-and-differences/

An Iranian delegation, led by President Hassan Rouhani, arrived in Moscow on Monday for negotiations with their Russian counterparts. Russia and Iran are allies in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, and the ongoing negotiations between the Russian and Iranian leadership may be characterized as a peak of their mutual diplomatic activities in the first quarter of 2017.

Earlier this year, the Russian leadership had held consultations and meetings with almost all external and internal players in the Middle East, clarifying their positions towards the situation in Syria. March developments have shown that the many sides have not reached a seamless consensus over the conflict. Furthermore, some positions and opinions became increasingly divergent. Turkey and Israel expanded their support to militant groups and increased their own military involvement in the conflict. This situation forces Moscow and Tehran to adjust their plans for the spring-summer campaign of 2017. Besides this, Russia and Iran have a broad polıtıcal agenda to discuss.

The main reason behind the Russian-Iranian alliance in Syria is a joint concern over security threats from terrorist groups and geopolitical competitors using terrorist groups and western controlled, surrogate regimes for exerting pressure on their perceived opponents.

The current Middle Eastern battleground borders Iran, is located approximately 700 km from the borders of the Russian Federation, and only 450 km from the borders of the former USSR. Syria and Iraq are traditional targets of manipulation by the more powerful and influential players of the globalist international establishment.

Some experts believe that these, once well-known external players, sought to acquire control over the region in several steps, implementing several “controlled chaos” approaches.  New types of quasi-state terrorist structures, like ISIS, appeared because of these experiments, which had been enacted in the region, or as a result of a gross dereliction of duty. Regardless, this growing threat of highly organized and ideologically motivated Sunni terrorism led to the creation of the Iranian-Russian military alliance. However, Moscow and Tehran could have different approaches on the operational level. They have different attitudes towards the retention of power by President Bashar al-Assad. Iran stands for maintaining the current status quo while Russia does not rule out a creation of a coalition government representing the interests of different Syrian ethnic and religious groups. Moscow and Tehran have different negotiability in the case of working with other regional players, including Turkey, Israel, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. This situation is determined by a number of ethnic, religious and historical factors. There is a notable difference in the level of pressure that Moscow and Tehran could face from global players. Russia is more vulnerable to various types of pressure than Iran, because of its role in world politics, its ample geographic territory, democratic political system, the multi-ethnic and multi-religious structure of its population, and its involvement in other key conflicts.

Nonetheless, these differences are negotiable and do not influence the general nature of the military and political cooperation between the two powers.

If we want to understand the Iranian and Russian interests in the region, we should attempt a forecast, characterizing the aims and objectives that each side has in 2017.

In diplomatic terms, Russia will likely continue to try to align its policy of solving the Syrian conflict with that of the United States. In particular, Moscow will use opportunities opened through their strategic cooperation with the Kurds. Russia will continue to work with Ankara in order to decrease, if not cease, the flow of arms and munitions from Turkey to the various militant groups in the Syrian province of Idlib. An important issue is the need to separate pro-Turkish militant groups from al-Qaeda-linked organizations. Concerning the Kurdish issue, Russia will contribute to any efforts that create and strengthen confidence and trust between the Damascus government and the Kurdish leadership. The goal is to get a joint vision of the post-war political order in Syria that includes the interests of the Kurds. This must lead to setting up a de-facto alliance between pro-government and Kurdish forces. Russia will also work to expand its role as a mediator in other Middle Eastern conflicts, such as those in Iraq, Palestine and Yemen. This will result in increasing influence on Israel, preventing it from conducting unilateral military actions against Damascus, or at least limiting them.

In military terms, Russia has the following goals for 2017:

* decisive defeat of ISIS;
* developing its own military infrastructure at the facilities in Tartus and the Khmeimim Air Base;
* strengthening of the Syrian Armed Forces;
* limiting US expansion in Syria via the expansion of the zone of Syrian government forces’ military operations in the provinces of Raqqah and Deir Ezzor;
* limiting Turkish military expansion and continued development of relations with the Kurds.

In turn, Tehran will continue its diplomatic efforts aimed at strengthening of pro-Iranian forces in Syria, including the Assad regime, as a key component of the Shia Crescent. Iran will also focus its efforts on the he stabilization of Iraq, led by the Shia government and defended by the predominantly Shia military forces. Tehran will adopt all possible measures to counteract the actions of the Gulf monarchies, and as a result, those of the United States and Israel, in Yemen, by supporting the Houthis.

Within the framework of the Arab-Israeli confrontation, Iran will further seek to depict itself as the main frontline power working in the interests of the Palestinians. Tehran will contribute military and diplomatic efforts to strengthening the influence of Hezbollah in the region and to assist Hezbollah in gaining international, legal recognition as a legitimate political and military force in the region.

Economic isolation is a major obstacle for Tehran. The Trump administration has intensified cooperation with Israel and sees Iran as a key threat to both the US and Israeli interests in the region. This political reality does not bode well for the chances that sanctions on Iran will be wholly lifted in the near future. Meanwhile, Iranian-EU relations pursue another agenda, and here Tehran could expect an economic breakthrough.

As for Iranian military goals in 2017 in the region, they consist of:

* decisive defeat of ISIS;
* disintegration of radical Sunni opposition groups in the regions crucial for the survival of the Damascus regime, especially in the Damascus countryside, in the provinces of Homs and Daraa. At the least, Iran will be striving to push these  groups to relocate to the province of Idlib;
* strengthening of pro-government forces in Syria with special attention to strengthening of Shia and pro-Iranian military formations in the Syrian Armed Forces;
* development of Hezbollah’s infrastructure in Syria;
* development of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps’ facilities in Syria.

Thus, we can see that Russia and Iran have joint military goals, and at least there are no irreconcilable differences. As to the political and diplomatic agenda in general, the situation is relatively the same; however, there could be some variance. These differences could appear as a result of different levels of vision of the situation in the region. Iran is a regional player with its own historical agenda, while Russia is a supra-regional player with some links to the region. Economic and energy factors could also play a role. This is why the alliance has to operate in close contact with one another and to respond swiftly to challenges as they materialize. Both sides have to clarify their own vital interests in good faith, to exchange views, and to develop a pragmatic, joint approach in the sphere of regional security.

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Iran accuses US of alliance with ISIS, claims to have proof

BY GARETH ICKE ON 12 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/415416/iran-accuses-us-alliance-isis-claims-proof



‘Senior Iranian officials have accused the US of supporting the Islamic State terrorist group and effectively forming an alliance with it, claiming that Tehran possesses documents to prove the allegations. No evidence, however, has yet been presented.
Deputy Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General Mostafa Izadi on Sunday accused the US of supporting Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL), stating Tehran has evidence to back the bold allegations.’


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Why Arab rivals have joined together to take on Qatar

BY GARETH ICKE ON 12 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/415446/arab-rivals-joined-together-take-qatar



‘The Gulf kingdom has long been out of step with its powerful neighbours, who now think the time is right to bring it into line.

It is a gulf Arab state that supports various Islamist groups – with critics saying it uses a TV channel as a tool of its foreign policy.

You could say that about a number of Arab countries, but it is Qatar that is being singled out for criticism and diplomatic ostracisation to a degree seldom seen before in the Arab world.

The reason? Qatar has long been out of line with the regional consensus and its neighbours believe this is the time to pull the small Gulf kingdom into line.

Other countries in the region may well support various Islamist militias in Syria.

Some sponsor TV channels perceived by many to have clearly biased agendas.

Saudi Arabia is accused of spending billions exporting a hardline form of Islam that its critics say leads to extremism.

But none of them share the sympathies and pet causes of Qatar.’

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Qatar blockade: Iran sends five planeloads of food

BY GARETH ICKE ON 12 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/415432/qatar-blockade-iran-sends-five-planeloads-food



‘Iran has sent five planeloads of food to Qatar, which is suffering shortages amid a regional blockade. A number of nations, including Iran’s major rival Saudi Arabia, last week cut ties with Qatar, accusing it of funding terrorism, charges it denies.

The land border with Saudi Arabia, through which 40% of Qatar’s food comes, has been closed. Meanwhile, mediators Kuwait said that Qatar was ready to listen to the “qualms” of its neighbours.’


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Documents shedding light on CIA-orchestrated Iranian coup of ’53 released by State Dept
16 Jun, 2017
https://www.rt.com/usa/392628-state-department-cia-iran/



 The US State Department has released a volume of declassified documents detailing the role the United States played in the 1953 coup against the Iranian government of Mohammad Mosaddegh.

Released Thursday, the 1,000-page “Foreign Relations of the United States, Iran, 1951–1954” provides information on the use of covert operations in Iran by the Truman and Eisenhower administrations.


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SOURCE DOCUMENT

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Iran slams ‘brazen interventionist plan’ after Tillerson’s call for regime change
BY ANDREW CHEETHAM ON 21 JUNE 2017 GMT
https://www.davidicke.com/article/416467/iran-slams-brazen-interventionist-plan-tillersons-call-regime-change



‘Iran has accused the United States of interfering in its domestic affairs after calls by the US Secretary of State to support “elements” that would ensure a “peaceful transition” in the Islamic Republic. Tehran also officially delivered a note of protest to the UN.

Speaking last Wednesday before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Rex Tillerson said Washington will support efforts of a regime change in Iran.

“Our policy towards Iran is to push back on this hegemony, contain their ability to develop obviously nuclear weapons, and to work toward support of those elements inside of Iran that would lead to a peaceful transition of that government. Those elements are there, certainly as we know,” Tillerson said on June 14.’



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